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      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/yannakrupnikov/Dropbox/Turnover2/Updated Data and Do File/Replication Materials Final/Replication SI 9 DO
> NE/Table_9.1.log
  log type:  text
 opened on:   2 Mar 2018, 14:42:39

. do "/var/folders/6_/whs9p_gd7k1gzplfk07y_0vr0000gn/T//SD32786.000000"

. **SI 9
. **Data: main
. **Additional variables: none
. 
. **Note, order of coefficients in the manuscript different than the order that appears in Stata
. 
. **SI Table 9.1
. use "main.dta"

. 
. **SI Table 9.1, Model 1
. reg pctelect1 i.balance01##c.prof unemployment termlim  tleffect redist  mmds chpart fraction divgov  pres2 y1982 y1984 y19
> 86 y1988 y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 

      Source |       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   =       811
-------------+----------------------------------   F(20, 790)      =     26.41
       Model |  557.519014        20  27.8759507   Prob > F        =    0.0000
    Residual |  833.857751       790  1.05551614   R-squared       =    0.4007
-------------+----------------------------------   Adj R-squared   =    0.3855
       Total |  1391.37676       810  1.71774909   Root MSE        =    1.0274

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
       pctelect1 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-----------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     1.balance01 |   .3059215   .1779792     1.72   0.086    -.0434466    .6552896
            prof |  -1.689422   .3106461    -5.44   0.000    -2.299211   -1.079632
                 |
balance01#c.prof |
              1  |  -2.058603   .8467558    -2.43   0.015    -3.720761    -.396446
                 |
    unemployment |   .0386133   .0395689     0.98   0.329    -.0390593    .1162859
         termlim |  -.0058562    .142443    -0.04   0.967    -.2854677    .2737554
        tleffect |   .0001518   .0000516     2.94   0.003     .0000505    .0002532
          redist |   .2184687   .1476287     1.48   0.139    -.0713223    .5082597
            mmds |   .2347143   .0906584     2.59   0.010     .0567545    .4126741
          chpart |  -.2591725   .4205118    -0.62   0.538    -1.084625    .5662802
        fraction |  -2.200552   .1683586   -13.07   0.000    -2.531035   -1.870069
          divgov |  -.0870004   .0762134    -1.14   0.254    -.2366052    .0626044
           pres2 |  -.4782876   .1602683    -2.98   0.003    -.7928897   -.1636855
           y1982 |   1.163144   .2648884     4.39   0.000     .6431759    1.683113
           y1984 |   .9582783   .1945869     4.92   0.000     .5763098    1.340247
           y1986 |   .3254775   .1753229     1.86   0.064    -.0186763    .6696312
           y1988 |   .5481126   .1821163     3.01   0.003     .1906235    .9056016
           y1990 |   .6137237   .1726541     3.55   0.000     .2748086    .9526388
           y1992 |   1.603872   .2205973     7.27   0.000     1.170845    2.036898
           y1994 |   1.147759   .2427184     4.73   0.000     .6713097    1.624208
           y1996 |   .8643267   .1842702     4.69   0.000     .5026095    1.226044
           _cons |   4.284979   .2029691    21.11   0.000     3.886557    4.683402
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. **SI Table 9.1, Model  2
. reg pctelect1 i.balance01##c.prof##c.unemployment termlim  tleffect redist mmds chpart fraction divgov pres2 y1982 y1984 y1
> 986 y1988 y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 

      Source |       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   =       811
-------------+----------------------------------   F(23, 787)      =     23.77
       Model |  570.409596        23  24.8004172   Prob > F        =    0.0000
    Residual |  820.967169       787  1.04316032   R-squared       =    0.4100
-------------+----------------------------------   Adj R-squared   =    0.3927
       Total |  1391.37676       810  1.71774909   Root MSE        =    1.0214

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      pctelect1 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                    1.balance01 |   .2960139   .1785752     1.66   0.098    -.0545262    .6465539
                           prof |  -1.522083   .3177368    -4.79   0.000    -2.145795   -.8983711
                                |
               balance01#c.prof |
                             1  |  -2.205351   .8462897    -2.61   0.009    -3.866603   -.5440988
                                |
                   unemployment |  -.0207919   .0586267    -0.35   0.723    -.1358752    .0942913
                                |
       balance01#c.unemployment |
                             1  |  -.1642466   .1162381    -1.41   0.158    -.3924199    .0639267
                                |
          c.prof#c.unemployment |   .3906418   .1792037     2.18   0.030      .038868    .7424156
                                |
balance01#c.prof#c.unemployment |
                             1  |   .1989322   .5050956     0.39   0.694    -.7925617    1.190426
                                |
                        termlim |   -.035209   .1419517    -0.25   0.804    -.3138577    .2434397
                       tleffect |   .0001643   .0000515     3.19   0.001     .0000632    .0002654
                         redist |   .2204332    .146832     1.50   0.134    -.0677955    .5086619
                           mmds |   .2314576   .0901373     2.57   0.010     .0545196    .4083957
                         chpart |  -.4105485   .4238295    -0.97   0.333    -1.242519    .4214215
                       fraction |  -2.187802   .1674573   -13.06   0.000    -2.516518   -1.859087
                         divgov |  -.0838759   .0758159    -1.11   0.269    -.2327013    .0649495
                          pres2 |  -.4710311   .1593631    -2.96   0.003    -.7838582    -.158204
                          y1982 |   1.178451   .2635733     4.47   0.000     .6610614    1.695841
                          y1984 |   .9413772   .1949285     4.83   0.000     .5587358    1.324019
                          y1986 |   .3463442    .174965     1.98   0.048     .0028909    .6897974
                          y1988 |   .5650732   .1813168     3.12   0.002     .2091514    .9209949
                          y1990 |   .6397554   .1719947     3.72   0.000     .3021327     .977378
                          y1992 |   1.602464   .2194812     7.30   0.000     1.171626    2.033302
                          y1994 |   1.204648   .2424859     4.97   0.000     .7286522    1.680644
                          y1996 |   .8897774   .1840097     4.84   0.000     .5285696    1.250985
                          _cons |    4.25333   .2025332    21.00   0.000     3.855761    4.650899
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. **SI Table 9.1, Model 3
. reg pctelect1 prof unemployment termlim  tleffect redist  mmds chpart fraction divgov  pres2 y1982 y1984 y1986 y1988 y1990 
> y1992 y1994 y1996 

      Source |       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   =       811
-------------+----------------------------------   F(18, 792)      =     28.84
       Model |  550.852414        18  30.6029119   Prob > F        =    0.0000
    Residual |  840.524351       792  1.06126812   R-squared       =    0.3959
-------------+----------------------------------   Adj R-squared   =    0.3822
       Total |  1391.37676       810  1.71774909   Root MSE        =    1.0302

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
   pctelect1 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        prof |  -1.911725   .2944184    -6.49   0.000    -2.489658   -1.333793
unemployment |   .0389749   .0396691     0.98   0.326     -.038894    .1168438
     termlim |  -.0215953   .1426628    -0.15   0.880    -.3016373    .2584466
    tleffect |   .0001602   .0000515     3.11   0.002     .0000591    .0002613
      redist |   .2118495   .1480064     1.43   0.153    -.0786818    .5023807
        mmds |   .2545305   .0905587     2.81   0.005      .076767    .4322941
      chpart |  -.2474441   .4206855    -0.59   0.557    -1.073234    .5783463
    fraction |  -2.159729   .1675148   -12.89   0.000    -2.488555   -1.830904
      divgov |  -.0989825   .0762483    -1.30   0.195    -.2486551      .05069
       pres2 |  -.4711852   .1606309    -2.93   0.003    -.7864978   -.1558725
       y1982 |    1.14381   .2654963     4.31   0.000     .6226506     1.66497
       y1984 |   .9217322     .19436     4.74   0.000     .5402104    1.303254
       y1986 |   .3127407   .1755159     1.78   0.075    -.0317906    .6572721
       y1988 |   .5261579    .182359     2.89   0.004     .1681937    .8841221
       y1990 |   .5763138   .1722725     3.35   0.001     .2381491    .9144785
       y1992 |   1.601608   .2211481     7.24   0.000     1.167503    2.035714
       y1994 |   1.148104   .2429977     4.72   0.000     .6711085      1.6251
       y1996 |   .8565159   .1847367     4.64   0.000     .4938844    1.219147
       _cons |   4.292205   .2029152    21.15   0.000      3.89389    4.690521
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. **SI Table 9.1, Model 4
. reg pctelect1 c.balance01##c.divgov prof unemployment termlim  tleffect redist  mmds chpart fraction  pres2 y1982 y1984 y19
> 86 y1988 y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 

      Source |       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   =       811
-------------+----------------------------------   F(20, 790)      =     26.05
       Model |  552.937743        20  27.6468872   Prob > F        =    0.0000
    Residual |  838.439021       790  1.06131522   R-squared       =    0.3974
-------------+----------------------------------   Adj R-squared   =    0.3821
       Total |  1391.37676       810  1.71774909   Root MSE        =    1.0302

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           pctelect1 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
           balance01 |   .0723047   .1424646     0.51   0.612    -.2073492    .3519587
              divgov |  -.0541272   .0836886    -0.65   0.518    -.2184056    .1101512
                     |
c.balance01#c.divgov |  -.2365856   .1893186    -1.25   0.212    -.6082127    .1350415
                     |
                prof |  -1.915513   .2957126    -6.48   0.000    -2.495988   -1.335037
        unemployment |   .0405971   .0397133     1.02   0.307     -.037359    .1185532
             termlim |  -.0088968   .1429537    -0.06   0.950    -.2895109    .2717172
            tleffect |   .0001541   .0000518     2.98   0.003     .0000525    .0002558
              redist |   .2223888   .1482411     1.50   0.134    -.0686043    .5133818
                mmds |   .2522928   .0905785     2.79   0.005     .0744899    .4300958
              chpart |  -.2268953   .4215158    -0.54   0.591    -1.054319    .6005282
            fraction |  -2.160497    .167812   -12.87   0.000    -2.489907   -1.831087
               pres2 |  -.4728955   .1607013    -2.94   0.003    -.7883475   -.1574435
               y1982 |   1.121741   .2661929     4.21   0.000     .5992116     1.64427
               y1984 |   .9229574   .1948362     4.74   0.000     .5404995    1.305415
               y1986 |   .3102405   .1756676     1.77   0.078      -.03459     .655071
               y1988 |   .5206057   .1824062     2.85   0.004     .1625475    .8786639
               y1990 |   .5776293   .1723634     3.35   0.001     .2392849    .9159737
               y1992 |   1.584312   .2217955     7.14   0.000     1.148934     2.01969
               y1994 |   1.128441   .2435289     4.63   0.000      .650401    1.606481
               y1996 |   .8590186   .1847593     4.65   0.000     .4963413    1.221696
               _cons |   4.283126   .2039303    21.00   0.000     3.882817    4.683435
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. **SI Table 9.1, Model 5
. reg pctelect1 c.balance01##c.prof##c.divgov unemployment termlim  tleffect redist  mmds chpart fraction  pres2 y1982 y1984 
> y1986 y1988 y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 

      Source |       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   =       811
-------------+----------------------------------   F(23, 787)      =     23.17
       Model |  561.727607        23  24.4229394   Prob > F        =    0.0000
    Residual |  829.649158       787  1.05419207   R-squared       =    0.4037
-------------+----------------------------------   Adj R-squared   =    0.3863
       Total |  1391.37676       810  1.71774909   Root MSE        =    1.0267

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  pctelect1 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
----------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                  balance01 |   .5579274   .2682868     2.08   0.038      .031285     1.08457
                       prof |  -2.128558   .6167025    -3.45   0.001    -3.339134   -.9179813
                            |
         c.balance01#c.prof |  -3.672896    1.61982    -2.27   0.024    -6.852574   -.4932173
                            |
                     divgov |  -.1712397   .1562527    -1.10   0.273    -.4779611    .1354817
                            |
       c.balance01#c.divgov |  -.4973725   .3664418    -1.36   0.175    -1.216692    .2219465
                            |
            c.prof#c.divgov |   .5653972   .7139615     0.79   0.429     -.836097    1.966891
                            |
c.balance01#c.prof#c.divgov |   2.601572   1.931747     1.35   0.178    -1.190415    6.393558
                            |
               unemployment |   .0380771   .0395933     0.96   0.336    -.0396438     .115798
                    termlim |   -.012835   .1431946    -0.09   0.929    -.2939236    .2682536
                   tleffect |   .0001504   .0000517     2.91   0.004      .000049    .0002519
                     redist |   .2385403   .1479711     1.61   0.107    -.0519244    .5290049
                       mmds |   .2336114   .0909291     2.57   0.010     .0551192    .4121036
                     chpart |  -.1785516   .4230078    -0.42   0.673    -1.008909    .6518054
                   fraction |  -2.202872   .1683481   -13.09   0.000    -2.533336   -1.872407
                      pres2 |  -.4597682   .1607415    -2.86   0.004     -.775301   -.1442354
                      y1982 |   1.142657   .2657312     4.30   0.000     .6210308    1.664282
                      y1984 |   .9188785   .1955741     4.70   0.000     .5349699    1.302787
                      y1986 |   .2994091   .1757732     1.70   0.089    -.0456307     .644449
                      y1988 |   .4965276   .1839839     2.70   0.007     .1353704    .8576849
                      y1990 |   .5824698   .1733886     3.36   0.001     .2421109    .9228287
                      y1992 |   1.553024   .2224646     6.98   0.000      1.11633    1.989718
                      y1994 |   1.100742   .2437636     4.52   0.000     .6222378    1.579245
                      y1996 |   .8241829   .1853474     4.45   0.000     .4603492    1.188017
                      _cons |   4.355274   .2213524    19.68   0.000     3.920763    4.789785
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. **SI Table 9.1, Model 6
. reg pctelect1 c.balance01##c.divgov##c.unemployment prof termlim  tleffect redist  mmds chpart fraction pres2 y1982 y1984 y
> 1986 y1988 y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 

      Source |       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   =       811
-------------+----------------------------------   F(23, 787)      =     23.10
       Model |  560.752093        23  24.3805258   Prob > F        =    0.0000
    Residual |  830.624672       787   1.0554316   R-squared       =    0.4030
-------------+----------------------------------   Adj R-squared   =    0.3856
       Total |  1391.37676       810  1.71774909   Root MSE        =    1.0273

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          pctelect1 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                          balance01 |   .0198071   .1444159     0.14   0.891    -.2636788    .3032929
                             divgov |  -.0454582   .0849757    -0.53   0.593    -.2122641    .1213477
                                    |
               c.balance01#c.divgov |  -.2100826   .1920355    -1.09   0.274     -.587045    .1668797
                                    |
                       unemployment |   .0453334    .053206     0.85   0.394     -.059109    .1497759
                                    |
         c.balance01#c.unemployment |  -.1583316   .0786487    -2.01   0.044    -.3127176   -.0039456
                                    |
            c.divgov#c.unemployment |   .0431976   .0558589     0.77   0.440    -.0664526    .1528477
                                    |
c.balance01#c.divgov#c.unemployment |   .0612185   .1166892     0.52   0.600    -.1678404    .2902775
                                    |
                               prof |   -1.90178   .2950537    -6.45   0.000    -2.480966   -1.322595
                            termlim |  -.0228142   .1435283    -0.16   0.874    -.3045578    .2589295
                           tleffect |     .00016   .0000521     3.07   0.002     .0000578    .0002623
                             redist |   .2333451   .1479385     1.58   0.115    -.0570557    .5237459
                               mmds |   .2469643   .0904095     2.73   0.006     .0694919    .4244367
                             chpart |  -.2380792   .4208637    -0.57   0.572    -1.064227     .588069
                           fraction |  -2.165712   .1676414   -12.92   0.000     -2.49479   -1.836635
                              pres2 |  -.4738164   .1604199    -2.95   0.003     -.788718   -.1589148
                              y1982 |    1.11667   .2656592     4.20   0.000     .5951852    1.638154
                              y1984 |   .8686556   .1954809     4.44   0.000       .48493    1.252381
                              y1986 |   .3011319   .1753354     1.72   0.086    -.0430486    .6453124
                              y1988 |   .5366877   .1824042     2.94   0.003     .1786315     .894744
                              y1990 |   .5808521   .1719525     3.38   0.001     .2433122     .918392
                              y1992 |   1.562286   .2213954     7.06   0.000     1.127691    1.996882
                              y1994 |   1.123847   .2428906     4.63   0.000     .6470571    1.600637
                              y1996 |   .8561276   .1845792     4.64   0.000     .4938018    1.218453
                              _cons |   4.295403   .2036514    21.09   0.000     3.895639    4.695167
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. **SI Table 9.1, Model 7
. reg pctelect1 c.balance01##c.prof##c.divgov##c.unemployment termlim  tleffect redist  mmds chpart fraction pres2 y1982 y198
> 4 y1986 y1988 y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 

      Source |       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   =       811
-------------+----------------------------------   F(30, 780)      =     18.46
       Model |  577.688259        30  19.2562753   Prob > F        =    0.0000
    Residual |  813.688506       780  1.04319039   R-squared       =    0.4152
-------------+----------------------------------   Adj R-squared   =    0.3927
       Total |  1391.37676       810  1.71774909   Root MSE        =    1.0214

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                 pctelect1 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                 balance01 |   .4980712   .2714651     1.83   0.067    -.0348174     1.03096
                                      prof |   -2.10304   .6188335    -3.40   0.001    -3.317816   -.8882632
                                           |
                        c.balance01#c.prof |  -3.567626   1.620041    -2.20   0.028    -6.747782   -.3874705
                                           |
                                    divgov |  -.2183404   .1589563    -1.37   0.170    -.5303732    .0936924
                                           |
                      c.balance01#c.divgov |  -.3539479   .3696856    -0.96   0.339    -1.079644    .3717486
                                           |
                           c.prof#c.divgov |   .7919691   .7208114     1.10   0.272    -.6229909    2.206929
                                           |
               c.balance01#c.prof#c.divgov |   2.028313   1.934827     1.05   0.295    -1.769772    5.826398
                                           |
                              unemployment |   .0418895   .0882763     0.47   0.635    -.1313977    .2151767
                                           |
                c.balance01#c.unemployment |  -.1135506   .1556741    -0.73   0.466    -.4191403    .1920392
                                           |
                     c.prof#c.unemployment |  -.0074633   .3570766    -0.02   0.983    -.7084082    .6934815
                                           |
         c.balance01#c.prof#c.unemployment |  -.1990209   .7814337    -0.25   0.799    -1.732983    1.334941
                                           |
                   c.divgov#c.unemployment |  -.0933714   .1059484    -0.88   0.378    -.3013493    .1146064
                                           |
       c.balance01#c.divgov#c.unemployment |  -.1196446   .2586875    -0.46   0.644    -.6274508    .3881616
                                           |
            c.prof#c.divgov#c.unemployment |    .537517   .4191258     1.28   0.200    -.2852311    1.360265
                                           |
c.balance01#c.prof#c.divgov#c.unemployment |   .7913754   1.106675     0.72   0.475    -1.381039     2.96379
                                           |
                                   termlim |   -.048115   .1445726    -0.33   0.739    -.3319124    .2356824
                                  tleffect |   .0001616   .0000524     3.08   0.002     .0000587    .0002644
                                    redist |   .2166952   .1480087     1.46   0.144    -.0738473    .5072377
                                      mmds |   .2247506   .0906153     2.48   0.013     .0468719    .4026293
                                    chpart |  -.3837274   .4284492    -0.90   0.371    -1.224777    .4573226
                                  fraction |  -2.206617   .1679716   -13.14   0.000    -2.536347   -1.876887
                                     pres2 |  -.4561031   .1601292    -2.85   0.005    -.7704384   -.1417678
                                     y1982 |   1.231017   .2680525     4.59   0.000     .7048274    1.757207
                                     y1984 |   .9247261   .1967949     4.70   0.000     .5384157    1.311036
                                     y1986 |   .3479389   .1763216     1.97   0.049     .0018178    .6940599
                                     y1988 |   .5404673    .184005     2.94   0.003     .1792637    .9016709
                                     y1990 |   .6192391   .1732777     3.57   0.000     .2790932     .959385
                                     y1992 |   1.573276   .2229275     7.06   0.000     1.135667    2.010885
                                     y1994 |   1.197222   .2457058     4.87   0.000     .7148989    1.679545
                                     y1996 |   .8725442   .1855711     4.70   0.000     .5082662    1.236822
                                     _cons |   4.364552   .2214451    19.71   0.000     3.929853    4.799251
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       log:  /Users/yannakrupnikov/Dropbox/Turnover2/Updated Data and Do File/Replication Materials Final/Replication SI 9 DO
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 closed on:   2 Mar 2018, 14:43:02
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